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ExploreSpace and Earth

The world, a little closer

Climate.

Sunlight comes in, heat goes out, and a few gases in the air decide how much gets away. Change their amount and watch the ground warm.

Explore the scene Interactive article

01 / The experiment

In, out, and what gets caught.

Turn the greenhouse gas up and down and watch the infrared packets. The planet shows its temperature. Ice spreads when it is cold, and the land bakes brown when it is hot.

Interactive scene

Preparing your experiment…

The explanation below is available while the scene loads.

A cartoon of the energy balance. Yellow streaks are sunlight; red ones are infrared given off by the warm ground. The molecules are carbon dioxide.The amount returned and the ground's warming are qualitative, and the air layer is drawn far thicker than it is. Real climate depends on oceans, clouds, ice and time.

02 / Three flows

In, out, returned.

The planet's temperature is whatever makes the first equal the second.

Short waves01

Sunlight in

Visible light and near-infrared from the Sun. Greenhouse gases let it pass; clouds and ice bounce some straight back out.

Path
Straight through the air
Lands on
Ground and oceans
Decides
How much heat there is to trap
Long waves02

Infrared out

The warm ground glows in infrared. In a clear, gas-free sky it would all escape; in ours a share is intercepted.

Path
Partly caught in the air
Lands on
Space, eventually
Decides
How the planet cools
The greenhouse share03

Returned

Water vapour, carbon dioxide and methane absorb infrared and re-emit it in all directions. Half of what they catch heads back down.

Path
Re-radiated by gas molecules
Lands on
The ground again
Decides
The extra warming
The big idea

Greenhouse gases are transparent to sunlight and not to infrared. They let heat in and slow its way out, so a small amount of gas sets the temperature of a whole planet.

CO₂ · 420 ppm

The balance

The Earth is warmed by one thing, sunlight, and cooled by one thing, its own glow. Everything warm gives off invisible infrared light, and the ground and oceans shine it back toward space day and night. When the energy going out matches the energy coming in, the temperature holds steady. Tip the balance either way and the planet warms or cools until the two match again.

The trap

Most of the air, nitrogen and oxygen, is transparent to both sunlight and infrared and plays no part. But a few gases, water vapour, carbon dioxide, methane, are transparent to sunlight and not to infrared. They let the Sun’s energy down to the ground, then catch a share of the infrared heading back up and re-radiate it in every direction, including down. Some heat that would have left is returned. The ground has to warm until it glows hard enough to push the same total out through the partly closed door.

That is the greenhouse effect, and without it the Earth would be a frozen ball about thirty degrees colder than it is. Set the gas to None in the scene and watch the ground go cold.

Try it: switch to Pre-industrial, then Today, then Doubled, and watch how many red packets turn back.

A thin trace that matters

Carbon dioxide is a trace gas: about 420 parts in every million, less than a twentieth of a per cent of the air. It matters out of all proportion to its amount because it does a job nothing else in the air is doing. Adding a little more is like adding another blanket to a bed: the blanket is thin, but there was nothing else holding the heat in.

Two centuries of burning coal, oil and gas have raised the amount from about 280 parts per million to over 420, faster than at any time in the geological record we can read. The extra is enough to hold back a small fraction more of the outgoing heat, and that small fraction has warmed the planet by more than a degree.

Feedbacks

Warming sets off changes that warm things further. Warmer air holds more water vapour, itself a greenhouse gas. Melting ice exposes dark sea and soil that soak up sunlight instead of reflecting it. Thawing ground releases methane. Clouds cut both ways, shading by day and blanketing by night, and are the largest uncertainty in how far the warming goes.

What the model leaves out

The scene shows the trap and nothing else. It has no oceans, which store heat for centuries; no clouds; no ice; no seasons; and no time lag, though the real system takes decades to settle. What it shows correctly is the core: sunlight in, infrared out, and a thin layer of gas deciding how much of the infrared makes it.